BACKGROUND:

Breast cancer (BC) is a significant global health issue, accounting for 1 in 8 cancer diagnoses worldwide. HLA class I molecules are typically expressed on the cell surface, but cancer cells can develop mechanisms to evade recognition by CTLs, including the downregulation of HLA class I expression. In this context, we aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to clarify the role of HLA class I expression in clinical outcomes for patients with BC.

METHODS:

A comprehensive literature search was conducted across PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane databases. Effect sizes, along with I2 and Tau2 statistics, were used to assess heterogeneity through a DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model. Statistical analyses were performed using R statistical software, version 4.2.3.

RESULTS:

Among the 8 included studies, most of the analyzed samples consisted of ductal carcinoma cases (1588, 86.39 %), from the luminal (A or B) intrinsic subtype (1865, 69.07 %), with no lymph node metastasis (2658, 57.24 %), no HER2 overexpression (2594, 67.46 %), negative Ki67 status (1721, 71.26 %), and positive hormone receptor status (4732, 64.05 %). The analysis revealed a significant reduction in disease-free survival (HR 0.57; 95 % CI 0.34 to 0.95; p = 0.034; I2 = 84 %) in the group with low HLA-I expression. However, no significant difference was found between the groups with high and low HLA-I expression regarding overall survival (HR 0.77; 95 % CI 0.28 to 2.14; p = 0.62; I2 = 86 %).

CONCLUSIONS:

This systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrated that HLA class I expression is associated with a significant improvement in disease-free survival, though no significant effect on overall survival was observed.