Riesgo de contagio de sarampion para un viajero chileno en 2017
Calculating the risk of acquiring measles of chileans traveling abroad

Rev. méd. Chile; 147 (5), 2019
Publication year: 2019

Background:

There is always a risk of importing infectious diseases when travelling abroad.

Aim:

To estimate the effective risk of a Chilean of acquiring measles during a travel by countries where measles outbreaks have been reported, considering the present level of immunity in the country.

Material and Methods:

Previously established mathematical models using differential equations were applied to calculate the risk of acquiring measles of people traveling to endemic areas.

Results:

The probability of acquiring measles of a voyager is 8.11 x 10-8.

Conclusions:

These estimations help decision making about preventive measures for travelers to endemic measles areas.

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